![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Have you seen what happens to teams when they lose a Hall of Fame quarterback? Raheem Palmer: Although Drew Brees spent the last few years of his career looking washed and devoid of arm strength (which prohibited him from taking deep shots down the field), he brought accuracy, stability and the leadership that made the Saints a contender. I’ll also consider playing the Fins to finish last in the division at +500 at FanDuel. I have Miami projected at 7.7 wins - almost two full wins short of the total. This is my favorite over/under on the board. This looks like a regression team, especially with the Jets and Patriots making big offseason improvements to raise the floor of competition in the AFC East. The Dolphins also got some real breaks on special teams a year ago. Miami also got outlier play from its outstanding corners last season and likely won't be as elite again intercepting passes or on third downs - two areas that are rarely consistent from one year to the next. But this is might be the best-coached division in the league, especially on defense, so that is no longer a noteworthy advantage. The defense was pretty good last season, and Brian Flores can coach 'em up. Miami might believe in its quarterback and talented receivers, but this is an unproven offense with a poor offensive line and running game. We don’t know if Tua Tagovailoa is a real NFL-caliber starting quarterback yet, and there’s no Ryan Fitzpatrick around as an emergency plan. » Read about how Koerner is betting on all 32 win totals Dolphins Under 9.5 Wins (-145) at PointsBetīrandon Anderson: The Dolphins surprised everyone and went 10-6 last season, and it feels like everyone is just writing them into playoff contention again because of that. Their 10.5-win total is right in line with my projection of 10.7 wins, but at +100 at FanDuel, I like the over. The biggest question is at what point Trey Lance will overtake Jimmy Garoppolo as their starting quarterback, but having both actually gives them a high floor (Garoppolo) and a high ceiling (Lance). It also helps that they’re going from the third-toughest schedule to the fifth-easiest. They had the worst injury luck in 2020, so they’re due for positive regression on that front. Sean Koerner: There are reasons to be bullish on the 49ers. » Read about how Raybon is betting on all 32 NFL teams 49ers Over 10.5 Wins (+100) at FanDuel Only twice have Reid’s overs in KC even come down to the final week. Oftentimes, I’d look at these numbers and think “regression,” but all I see is a top-two NFL coach in Reid, the league's best quarterback in Patrick Mahomes, and a deeper, improved offensive line that thwarts Mahomes’ only kryptonite. DOWNLOAD NOW Chiefs Over 12.5 Wins (+120) at BetMGMĬhris Raybon: Andy Reid is 8-0 toward the over as head coach of the Chiefs, and 19-4-1 toward the over including his days in Philadelphia. ![]()
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